Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barrow in this match.
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