SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Everton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
56.04% ( -3.22) | 22.63% ( 0.94) | 21.33% ( 2.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( -1.05) | 44.41% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.22% ( -1.03) | 66.78% ( 1.02) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% ( -1.4) | 15.67% ( 1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.28% ( -2.66) | 44.72% ( 2.66) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.18% ( 1.71) | 34.82% ( -1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.44% ( 1.76) | 71.56% ( -1.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.51)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.35)3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.62)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.44)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.51% Total : 56.04% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.33% |
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