Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
-0.09) 
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