SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
63.77% ( 0.31) | 20.08% ( 0.17) | 16.14% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( -1.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% ( -1.7) | 41.1% ( 1.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( -1.75) | 63.5% ( 1.75) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.77% ( -0.42) | 12.23% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.07% ( -0.9) | 37.92% ( 0.89) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.45% ( -1.63) | 38.54% ( 1.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.7% ( -1.59) | 75.29% ( 1.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.59)3-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.62% Total : 63.76% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.36)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.08% | 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.14% |
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