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LC
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
LNER Stadium
DR

Lincoln
1 - 2
Doncaster

Vernam (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hurst (72'), Long (84')
Molyneux (13'), Close (34'), Biggins (37')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Lincoln City and Doncaster Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawDoncaster Rovers
45.99% (-0.109 -0.11) 24.84% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 29.16% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.78% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)47.22% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.55% (-0.035 -0.04)69.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)20.59% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)53.13% (0.101 0.1)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.045000000000002 0.05)29.88% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (0.054000000000002 0.05)65.97% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 45.99%
    Doncaster Rovers 29.16%
    Draw 24.84%
Lincoln CityDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.43% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.16%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-6 Lincoln
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Derby
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Lincoln
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 2-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barrow 2-2 Lincoln (1-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-0 Newcastle U21s (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Doncaster
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Salford City
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two


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