Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sunderland in this match.
