Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
