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EFL Trophy | Third Round
Feb 4, 2025 at 7pm UK
Vale Park
WA

Port Vale
1 - 4
Wrexham

Curtis (1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cannon (31'), Ashfield (48'), Lee (63'), Faal (82')
O'Connor (21'), Ashfield (45+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Wrexham

Port Vale will come into Tuesday's match confident of beating Wrexham given the visitors are in poor form and have struggled on the road. Additionally, the hosts have been strong of late themselves, and it would not be surprising if they edged a close affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawWrexham
42.52% (-0.158 -0.16) 27.41% (0.118 0.12) 30.06% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.33 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88% (-0.425 -0.43)57.11% (0.419 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01% (-0.342 -0.34)77.99% (0.336 0.34)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (-0.28 -0.28)26.55% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (-0.372 -0.37)61.77% (0.368 0.37)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.199 -0.2)34.35% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.211 -0.21)71.06% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 42.52%
    Wrexham 30.06%
    Draw 27.41%
Port ValeDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 12.09% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.12% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 30.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Newport
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Cheltenham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-0 Port Vale
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-3 Stevenage
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 1-1 Birmingham
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Wrexham
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Wrexham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One


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