Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 55.67%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 22.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match.
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