Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0) 
