Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 56.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
