SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (5.09%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
41.5% ( 0.23) | 22.03% ( 0.05) | 36.47% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 69.07% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.03% ( -0.32) | 30.96% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.65% ( -0.38) | 52.34% ( 0.38) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( -0.04) | 15.84% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.97% ( -0.08) | 45.03% ( 0.08) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.07% ( -0.27) | 17.93% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.25% ( -0.46) | 48.74% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.86% Total : 41.5% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.47% |
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