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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2022 at 5pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion

Zalgiris
1 - 1
Bodo/Glimt

Kyeremeh (39')
Kyeremeh (9'), Gorobsov (26'), Oliveira (61'), Bopesu (77')
Mamic (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mvuka (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-0 Zalgiris
Wednesday, August 3 at 5pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 7-0 Odd
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: FK Zalgiris 1-3 Bodo/Glimt (Bodo/Glimt win 8-1 on aggregate)

With very little to lose, FK Zalgiris should come out and attack from the first whistle on Tuesday, but we see that giving the visitors plenty of chances to use their quality and exploit defensive gaps. While another thrashing may not occur, we do anticipate Den Gule Horden stretching their lead further in Lithuania. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawBodo/Glimt
34.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 23.08% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 42.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 64.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.91% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.09% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)21.83% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)55.06% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (0.012999999999998 0.01)48.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 34.03%
    Bodo/Glimt 42.88%
    Draw 23.08%
FK ZalgirisDrawBodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 34.03%
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 6.71%
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 3.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 42.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-0 Zalgiris
Wednesday, August 3 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Malmo 0-2 Zalgiris
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-0 Malmo
Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-0 KF Ballkani (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: KF Ballkani 1-1 Zalgiris
Tuesday, July 5 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 26 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 7-0 Odd
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-0 Zalgiris
Wednesday, August 3 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aalesund 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 8-0 Linfield
Wednesday, July 27 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-0 Jerv
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Bodo/Glimt
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League


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