Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2022 at 5pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: FK Zalgiris 1-3 Bodo/Glimt (Bodo/Glimt win 8-1 on aggregate)
With very little to lose, FK Zalgiris should come out and attack from the first whistle on Tuesday, but we see that giving the visitors plenty of chances to use their quality and exploit defensive gaps.
While another thrashing may not occur, we do anticipate Den Gule Horden stretching their lead further in Lithuania.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result |
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
34.03% ( -0.01) | 23.08% ( -0) | 42.88% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.32% |
| 63.09% ( 0) | 36.91% ( -0.01) |
| 40.91% ( 0) | 59.09% ( -0.01) |
| 78.17% ( -0.01) | 21.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.94% ( -0.01) | 55.06% ( 0.01) |
| 82.28% ( 0.01) | 17.72% ( -0.01) |
