Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jerv win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jerv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Jerv in this match.
