SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 16 | 10 | 28 |
| 5 | Viking FK | 17 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Valerenga Fotball | 16 | -1 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 24 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 23 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 23 | 2 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
46.93% ( 0.09) | 24.24% ( -0.02) | 28.84% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.52% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.28% ( 0.08) | 44.72% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.92% ( 0.07) | 67.08% ( -0.07) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( 0.07) | 19.18% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.14% ( 0.11) | 50.85% ( -0.11) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( -0) | 28.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% ( -0.01) | 64.69% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 46.93% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.84% |
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