SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.48%) and 3-1 (6.44%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
52.78% ( 0.22) | 21.08% ( 0) | 26.14% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 66.61% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.24% ( -0.19) | 31.76% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.71% ( -0.23) | 53.29% ( 0.24) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.62% ( 0) | 12.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.76% ( -0) | 38.24% ( 0.01) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( -0.24) | 23.98% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.78% ( -0.35) | 58.22% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 52.78% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.08% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.14% |
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