SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 16 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 21 | 28 | 51 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 27 | 41 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 21 | 17 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.84%) and 1-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
47.65% ( -0.08) | 21.75% ( -0.04) | 30.6% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 67.78% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.26% ( 0.25) | 31.74% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.75% ( 0.3) | 53.25% ( -0.3) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( 0.07) | 13.96% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.56% ( 0.13) | 41.44% ( -0.13) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( 0.19) | 21.23% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.87% ( 0.29) | 54.13% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.65% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.75% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.6% |
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