Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 67.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 13.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Jerv win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
