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ML
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
2 - 3
Djurgarden

Brynhildsen (6'), Andre Kaasa (21')
Risa (45'), Breivik (59'), Fjortoft Lovik (65'), Brynhildsen (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Edvardsen (44'), Asoro (67'), Radetinac (77')
Schuller (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Molde 2-1 Rosenborg
Sunday, October 23 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Molde 1-1 Djurgardens IF

Two sides with the best defensive records in their respective domestic leagues meet on Thursday night so we are not expecting a massive amount of goals in what is likely to be a cagey affair. Molde have scored 11 goals in their last four home fixtures in all competitions, but group leaders Djurgarden will be the biggest test of the Norwegians' credentials to date. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
MoldeDrawDjurgardens IF
41.37% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 22.98% (0.004999999999999 0) 35.65% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 65.16% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)35.98% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.08% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)17.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)48.8% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.57% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)53.1% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Molde 41.37%
    Djurgardens IF 35.65%
    Draw 22.98%
MoldeDrawDjurgardens IF
2-1 @ 8.61%
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Molde 2-1 Rosenborg
Sunday, October 23 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 0-1 Molde
Sunday, October 16 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Shamrock 0-2 Molde
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Molde 5-0 HamKam
Sunday, October 9 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Shamrock
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tromso 0-1 Molde
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Djurgarden 4-0 Sundsvall
Monday, October 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 2-3 Djurgarden
Thursday, October 20 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 1-2 AIK
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 4-2 Gent
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Djurgarden 0-1 Hacken
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Gent 0-1 Djurgarden
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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