SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Shamrock Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Molde in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Molde.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
59.66% ( -0.28) | 23.58% ( 0.05) | 16.76% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 44.44% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.5% ( 0.14) | 54.5% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.14% ( 0.11) | 75.85% ( -0.12) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% ( -0.05) | 18% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.13% ( -0.09) | 48.87% ( 0.09) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.19% ( 0.38) | 45.81% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.43% ( 0.29) | 81.57% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 14.13% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 59.65% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.42% Total : 16.76% |
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