SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 57.91%. A win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 21.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.52%) and 3-1 (6.94%). The likeliest Valerenga Fotball win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Valerenga Fotball |
57.91% ( 0.81) | 20.33% ( -0.22) | 21.76% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 63.82% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.94% ( 0.33) | 33.07% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.2% ( 0.38) | 54.8% ( -0.37) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.63% ( 0.33) | 11.37% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.91% ( 0.7) | 36.09% ( -0.69) |
| Valerenga Fotball Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0.29) | 27.99% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% ( -0.38) | 63.63% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Valerenga Fotball |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 57.92% | 1-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.45% Total : 21.76% |
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