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Europa League | Quarter-Finals
Apr 8, 2021 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
RL

Ajax
1 - 2
Roma

Klaassen (39')
Rensch (71'), Martinez (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pellegrini (57'), Ibanez (87')
Peres (78'), Cristante (90'), Calafiori (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.39%. A win for Roma had a probability of 21.02% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.2%) and 3-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawRoma
59.39%19.6%21.02%
Both teams to score 65.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.55%30.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.27%51.73%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.81%10.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.54%33.46%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91%27.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53%62.47%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 59.39%
    Roma 21.02%
    Draw 19.6%
AjaxDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 7.16%
1-0 @ 6.3%
3-0 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 4.67%
4-1 @ 4.09%
4-0 @ 3.13%
4-2 @ 2.67%
5-1 @ 1.87%
5-0 @ 1.43%
5-2 @ 1.22%
4-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 59.39%
1-1 @ 8.23%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 2.76%
3-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.6%
1-2 @ 5.38%
0-1 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-2 @ 2.35%
1-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 21.02%

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