SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 91.67%. A draw had a probability of 5.9% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 2.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.77%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.72%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (0.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 91.67% | 5.92% | 2.41% |
| Both teams to score 44.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 81.91% | 18.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 64.63% | 35.37% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.85% | 2.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 89.6% | 10.4% |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.03% | 54.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.14% | 87.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 3-0 @ 11.2% 4-0 @ 10.77% 2-0 @ 8.73% 5-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 6.7% 4-1 @ 6.45% 6-0 @ 5.32% 2-1 @ 5.23% 5-1 @ 4.96% 1-0 @ 4.54% 6-1 @ 3.18% 7-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.93% 7-1 @ 1.75% 5-2 @ 1.49% 8-0 @ 1.41% 6-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.84% Total : 91.66% | 1-1 @ 2.72% 2-2 @ 1.56% 0-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.46% Total : 5.92% | Other @ 2.41% Total : 2.41% |
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