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Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Feb 6, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
HA

Ajax
3 - 0
Heracles

Klaassen (22'), Haller (55'), Taylor (65')
Alvarez (7'), Antony (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sierhuis (73'), Bakboord (80')

We said: Ajax 4-0 Heracles

Having just recently reclaimed top stop, Ajax will be looking to pull clear of all title contenders and three points this weekend would certainly be a step in the right direction. We fancy them to cruise to a comfortable victory, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 89.79%. A draw had a probability of 7% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 3.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.15%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawHeracles
89.79%7.01%3.19%
Both teams to score 47.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.03%18.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.35%36.65%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.51%2.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.32%11.68%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.87%51.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.57%85.43%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 89.79%
    Heracles 3.19%
    Draw 7.01%
AjaxDrawHeracles
3-0 @ 10.72%
4-0 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 8.7%
5-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 7.19%
4-1 @ 6.65%
2-1 @ 5.84%
5-1 @ 4.92%
1-0 @ 4.7%
6-0 @ 4.53%
6-1 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.41%
7-0 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 2.23%
5-2 @ 1.65%
7-1 @ 1.6%
8-0 @ 1.11%
6-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 89.79%
1-1 @ 3.15%
2-2 @ 1.96%
0-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 7.01%
1-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 3.19%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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