Almere City have been all over the place defensively so far, and we can see that continuing in this weekend's affair. We are also tipping Groningen to claim a relatively routine triumph and continue their fairytale start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.65%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Almere City	Draw	Groningen
14.73% ( 0.06)	20.51% ( 0.05)	64.76% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 49.11% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.19% (

-0.09)

45.81% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.88% (

-0.09)

68.12% (

0.08)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.7% (

0.03)

43.3% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.46% (

0.03)

79.54% (

-0.03)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.62% (

-0.06)

13.38% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.7% (

-0.13)

40.3% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Almere City 14.73%

Groningen 64.75%

Draw 20.51%

Almere City	Draw	Groningen
1-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 14.73%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.51%	0-2 @ 11.72% 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 64.75%