Almere City have been all over the place defensively so far, and we can see that continuing in this weekend's affair.
We are also tipping Groningen to claim a relatively routine triumph and continue their fairytale start to the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.65%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.11) 
