SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
39.48% ( -0.84) | 25.36% ( 0.41) | 35.16% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% ( -1.81) | 47.46% ( 1.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( -1.7) | 69.67% ( 1.7) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( -1.22) | 23.77% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.07% ( -1.79) | 57.92% ( 1.79) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% ( -0.6) | 26.14% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.79% ( -0.82) | 61.21% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 2% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.16% |
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