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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City |
55.5% ( -1.98) | 22.85% ( 0.72) | 21.65% ( 1.26) |
| Both teams to score 54.7% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( -1.57) | 44.98% ( 1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.67% ( -1.52) | 67.33% ( 1.53) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.94% ( -1.2) | 16.06% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.57% ( -2.25) | 45.43% ( 2.25) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.16% ( 0.34) | 34.84% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.43% ( 0.36) | 71.57% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.33)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.27)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.5% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.65% |
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