The hosts may have failed to beat the visitors in either of their matchups last year, but they have enjoyed a much better pre-season in preparation for the Eredivisie season, and we believe they will claim an opening day victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Groningen	Draw	NAC Breda
66.46% ( 0.04)	19.74% ( -0.02)	13.81% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.22% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.6% (

0.02)

44.4% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.23% (

0.02)

66.77% (

-0.02)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.54% (

0.02)

12.46% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.58% (

0.04)

38.42% (

-0.03)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.23% (

-0.02)

43.77% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.06% (

-0.02)

79.94% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Groningen 66.45%

NAC Breda 13.81%

Draw 19.74%

Groningen	Draw	NAC Breda
2-0 @ 11.82% 1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 66.45%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 19.74%	0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 13.81%