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Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 7, 2024 at 11.15am UK
GelreDome
N

Vitesse
0 - 3
Nijmegen


Aaronson (31'), Oroz (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hoedemakers (65'), Hansen (80', 90+1')
Baas (46'), Sano (54'), Hansen (80'), Arts (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 1-4 Sparta
Tuesday, April 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-1 Nijmegen
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Vitesse 1-2 NEC

Having been held in their last game, NEC are under pressure to deliver in this fixture as they bid to keep the pressure on Ajax. While we feel that the scoreline will be closer than many are anticipating, NEC should still come through this contest with three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawNEC
36.85% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 23.59% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 39.56% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 63% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.14% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)38.86% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.83% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)61.17% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)21.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)54.19% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)19.97% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)52.14% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 36.85%
    NEC 39.56%
    Draw 23.58%
VitesseDrawNEC
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.58% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.85%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 39.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vitesse 1-4 Sparta
Tuesday, April 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Vitesse
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 Almere City
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 3-1 Vitesse
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-2 FC Twente
Saturday, March 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-2 Vitesse
Sunday, February 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-1 Nijmegen
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 PSV
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, March 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, March 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-5 Nijmegen
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 Nijmegen
Tuesday, February 27 at 7pm in KNVB Beker


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