Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 50.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambuur | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
24.4% ( 0.22) | 25.17% ( 0.17) | 50.43% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% ( -0.48) | 51.87% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( -0.42) | 73.62% ( 0.42) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.87% ( -0.07) | 36.13% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.09% ( -0.07) | 72.91% ( 0.07) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( -0.35) | 20.57% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.89% ( -0.56) | 53.1% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Cambuur | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.4% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.43% |
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