Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
42.9% ( 0.08) | 26.81% ( 0.04) | 30.28% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.22% ( -0.2) | 54.77% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.91% ( -0.17) | 76.08% ( 0.17) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% ( -0.05) | 25.29% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% ( -0.07) | 60.06% ( 0.07) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.04% ( -0.2) | 32.96% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.46% ( -0.22) | 69.54% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.28% |
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