SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
41.99% ( 0.46) | 25.83% ( -0.08) | 32.18% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.83% ( 0.24) | 50.16% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% ( 0.21) | 72.13% ( -0.22) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.3% ( 0.33) | 23.7% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.18% ( 0.48) | 57.82% ( -0.49) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( -0.13) | 29.3% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% ( -0.16) | 65.26% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.18% |
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