SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 13.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Ajax |
13.56% ( -0.06) | 17.76% ( 0.11) | 68.68% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.28% ( -0.69) | 35.71% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.22% ( -0.76) | 57.78% ( 0.76) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.4% ( -0.54) | 38.59% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.66% ( -0.52) | 75.34% ( 0.51) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.55% ( -0.19) | 9.45% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.26% ( -0.46) | 31.74% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 13.56% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.76% | 0-2 @ 10.14% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 7.98% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 4.71% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.48% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.4% Total : 68.67% |
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