Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Cambuur |
40.06% ( -0.35) | 24.69% ( -0.02) | 35.25% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 58.69% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.62% ( 0.16) | 44.37% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.25% ( 0.16) | 66.75% ( -0.16) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% ( -0.1) | 22.12% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.51% ( -0.15) | 55.49% ( 0.15) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.36% ( 0.29) | 24.64% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.85% ( 0.4) | 59.15% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Cambuur |
2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.06% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.25% |
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