SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.26%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 18.84% and a draw had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (4.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | FC Twente |
63.26% ( 0.03) | 17.89% ( -0.01) | 18.84% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 68.35% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.67% ( -0.01) | 25.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.65% ( -0.01) | 45.34% ( 0.01) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.15% ( 0) | 7.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.18% ( 0.01) | 27.81% ( -0.01) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( -0.02) | 25.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% ( -0.03) | 60.79% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 5.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.8% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 3.25% 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.65% 4-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 4.46% Total : 63.26% | 1-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 17.89% | 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.86% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.75% Total : 18.84% |
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