SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.89%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
22.25% ( 0.64) | 21.04% ( 0.29) | 56.72% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 61.9% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.13% ( -0.57) | 35.87% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.04% ( -0.63) | 57.96% ( 0.63) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.23) | 29.17% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.89% ( 0.28) | 65.12% ( -0.28) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.4% ( -0.44) | 12.6% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.3% ( -0.94) | 38.7% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.18% Total : 22.25% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.04% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.71% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.48% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.17% Total : 56.72% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
