Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
15.65% (![]() | 17.53% (![]() | 66.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.37% (![]() | 29.62% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.26% (![]() | 50.73% (![]() |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.12% (![]() | 31.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% (![]() | 68.32% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.74% (![]() | 8.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.14% (![]() | 28.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 4.29% (![]() 1-0 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 15.65% | 1-1 @ 7.51% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.53% | 1-2 @ 9.36% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.78% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.83% Total : 66.82% |
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