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Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
A
Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 4
Ajax

Clement (40')
Gaari (2'), Oukili (18'), Adewoye (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Blind (43'), Grillitsch (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 15 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 7-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 Ajax

Ajax served up a reminder of how ruthless they can be in front of goal last time out, and while we do not expect them to put up similar numbers in this one, we are tipping them to cruise to a comfortable victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
15.65% (1.831 1.83) 17.53% (1.515 1.52) 66.82% (-3.347 -3.35)
Both teams to score 62.5% (-1.246 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.37% (-3.553 -3.55)29.62% (3.551 3.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.26% (-4.432 -4.43)50.73% (4.431 4.43)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (-0.203 -0.2)31.87% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (-0.235 -0.24)68.32% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.74% (-1.55 -1.55)8.26% (1.549 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.14% (-4.02 -4.02)28.86% (4.02 4.02)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 15.65%
    Ajax 66.82%
    Draw 17.53%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
2-1 @ 4.29% (0.497 0.5)
1-0 @ 3.01% (0.566 0.57)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.075 0.08)
2-0 @ 1.72% (0.316 0.32)
3-1 @ 1.64% (0.181 0.18)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 15.65%
1-1 @ 7.51% (0.906 0.91)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.225 0.23)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.508 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.53%
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.443 0.44)
0-2 @ 8.19% (0.431 0.43)
1-3 @ 7.78% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-3 @ 6.8% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.824 0.82)
1-4 @ 4.85% (-0.572 -0.57)
2-3 @ 4.45% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-4 @ 4.24% (-0.474 -0.47)
2-4 @ 2.77% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-5 @ 2.42% (-0.511 -0.51)
0-5 @ 2.12% (-0.432 -0.43)
2-5 @ 1.38% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-4 @ 1.06% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-6 @ 1.01% (-0.313 -0.31)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 66.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sittard 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 15 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 2-3 RKC Waalwijk
Friday, October 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Sparta
Sunday, October 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 5-1 Cambuur
Saturday, September 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, September 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 5-2 Excelsior
Sunday, September 4 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 7-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Napoli 4-2 Ajax
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Volendam 2-4 Ajax
Saturday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-6 Napoli
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, October 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Ajax
Sunday, September 18 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie


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