SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 75.76%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Volendam |
75.76% ( 0.04) | 14.58% ( -0.01) | 9.66% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.13% ( -0.03) | 30.87% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.77% ( -0.04) | 52.23% ( 0.04) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.23% ( 0) | 6.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75% ( 0) | 25% ( -0) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.28% ( -0.08) | 41.72% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.81% ( -0.07) | 78.19% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0)3-1 @ 8.03% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.31% 5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.95% Total : 75.75% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.82% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.58% | 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 9.66% |
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