SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
34.29% ( -0.04) | 24.08% ( -0.01) | 41.63% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.69% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% ( 0.06) | 41.68% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0.05) | 64.08% ( -0.05) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( 0.01) | 23.92% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.86% ( 0.01) | 58.14% ( -0) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.77% ( 0.05) | 20.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.45% ( 0.07) | 52.55% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.29% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 41.63% |
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