SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Volendam |
68.26% ( 0.19) | 17.59% ( -0.05) | 14.15% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.02% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.57% ( -0.05) | 33.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.78% ( -0.05) | 55.21% ( 0.05) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.05% ( 0.03) | 8.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.46% ( 0.07) | 30.53% ( -0.07) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% ( -0.21) | 36.27% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.94% ( -0.22) | 73.05% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 68.26% | 1-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.59% | 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 14.15% |
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