SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-3 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Ajax |
11.48% ( 1.13) | 14.84% ( 0.55) | 73.69% ( -1.68) |
| Both teams to score 60.87% ( 2.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.7% ( 0.65) | 26.3% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.4% ( 0.82) | 46.6% ( -0.82) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% ( 2.37) | 35.15% ( -2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.1% ( 2.4) | 71.9% ( -2.4) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.87% ( -0.15) | 6.14% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.74% ( -0.42) | 23.26% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.15)Other @ 2% Total : 11.48% | 1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.31)0-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.31% Total : 14.84% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.5)1-3 @ 8.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.82% ( -0.54)0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.3)1-4 @ 5.7% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 5.45% ( -0.43)2-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.26)1-5 @ 3.18% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 3.04% ( -0.27)2-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.15)2-5 @ 1.66% ( 0.07)1-6 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)0-6 @ 1.42% ( -0.14)3-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.12)Other @ 4.27% Total : 73.69% |
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