SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Groningen |
33.48% ( 0.07) | 23.61% ( 0.01) | 42.91% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 62.17% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.36% ( -0.04) | 39.64% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.01% ( -0.04) | 61.99% ( 0.04) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( 0.02) | 23.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% ( 0.03) | 57.41% ( -0.03) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( -0.05) | 18.81% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.75% ( -0.08) | 50.25% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.48% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 42.91% |
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