SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.84%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Volendam |
47.51% ( -0.52) | 21.68% ( 0.03) | 30.81% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 68.18% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.74% ( 0.11) | 31.25% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.31% ( 0.13) | 52.69% ( -0.14) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.17% ( -0.13) | 13.83% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.81% ( -0.25) | 41.18% ( 0.25) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( 0.33) | 20.87% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.42% ( 0.51) | 53.58% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.85% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.81% |
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