After suffering their first loss of the season last weekend, we think that Heerenveen will bounce back to claim all three points, having avoided defeat in their last four meetings with Go Ahead Eagles.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
-1.04) 
1.05) 
