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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
49.89% ( 0.18) | 23.49% ( -0.04) | 26.62% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.11% ( 0.04) | 42.89% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.71% ( 0.04) | 65.29% ( -0.04) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% ( 0.08) | 17.31% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.33% ( 0.15) | 47.67% ( -0.15) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( -0.09) | 29.5% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( -0.11) | 65.51% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.9% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 26.62% |
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