SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
28.58% ( 0.64) | 22.86% ( 0.31) | 48.56% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 62.17% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.5% ( -1.01) | 38.5% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.2% ( -1.08) | 60.8% ( 1.08) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.15% ( -0.09) | 25.85% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.18% ( -0.13) | 60.82% ( 0.13) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.84% ( -0.71) | 16.16% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.39% ( -1.31) | 45.61% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.58% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 6.94% 1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.62% Total : 48.56% |
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