SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
64.59% ( 3.01) | 19.7% ( -1.01) | 15.71% ( -2.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.81% ( 0.91) | 40.19% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.44% ( 0.93) | 62.56% ( -0.93) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.26% ( 1.12) | 11.73% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.12% ( 2.35) | 36.87% ( -2.35) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( -1.87) | 38.53% ( 1.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.72% ( -1.82) | 75.28% ( 1.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.63)3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.49)4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.27)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.88% Total : 64.58% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.7% | 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.46) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.42)0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.71% |
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