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Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
AA

Sittard
0 - 3
AZ

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Odgaard (24'), Milos (42'), Pavlidis (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, April 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 AZ
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fortuna Sittard 0-1 AZ Alkmaar

Fortuna are a few more results away from Eredivisie safety this season, but face a tricky assignment on Sunday against an Alkmaar side who will be looking for a response after their Conference League defeat on Thursday. AZ will have one eye on that second leg with Anderlecht next week, but we believe they will focus enough to get the better of Sittard on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawAZ Alkmaar
19.6% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 21.58% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05) 58.81% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.71% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9% (0.113 0.11)42.1% (-0.11000000000001 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.49% (0.113 0.11)64.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)35.22% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86% (0.075999999999993 0.08)14% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.47% (0.147 0.15)41.52% (-0.144 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 19.6%
    AZ Alkmaar 58.81%
    Draw 21.58%
Fortuna SittardDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 19.6%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.52% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.25% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.4% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.2% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.07% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.26% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, April 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 Groningen
Sunday, April 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-1 Sittard
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-3 FC Twente
Saturday, March 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-2 Sittard
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 2-4 Feyenoord
Sunday, February 26 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 AZ
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AZ 0-1 Sparta
Saturday, April 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, April 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 AZ
Sunday, March 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Lazio
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Groningen
Saturday, March 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie


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