Fortuna have been defensively suspect at home all-season long, and we expect their net to ripple once again here. Groningen, meanwhile, have struggled for clean sheets on their travels, so we are tipping the sides to cancel each other out and come away with a point apiece.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
0.02) 
-0) 
