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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-3 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
11.77% ( 0) | 15.46% ( 0.04) | 72.77% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.22% ( -0.21) | 28.78% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.3% ( -0.26) | 49.7% ( 0.26) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.49% ( -0.15) | 36.51% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.7% ( -0.15) | 73.3% ( 0.15) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.13% ( -0.06) | 6.87% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.74% ( -0.15) | 25.25% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.77% | 1-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.46% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.03% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 5.38% 2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 72.77% |
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